Comparison of predictive grading systems for procedural risk in endovascular treatment of brain arteriovenous malformations: analysis of 104 consecutive patients

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  • 1 Departments of Radiology,
  • 2 Neurosurgery, and
  • 4 Neurology, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts; and
  • 3 Department of Neurological Surgery, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California
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OBJECTIVE

Several grading systems for procedural risk in the endovascular treatment of brain arteriovenous malformations (AVMs) have been proposed, including the Buffalo, Puerto Rico, and AVM embocure scoring systems. The authors sought to validate these systems in an independent patient cohort and compare each system to the established Spetzler-Martin (SM) scale.

METHODS

One hundred four consecutive patients underwent adjunctive endovascular embolization of brain AVMs between 2002 and 2016 with the goal of reducing the surgical or hemorrhagic risk before definitive radiosurgical treatment. Baseline clinical and AVM characteristics, complications, and degree of AVM nidus reduction were obtained retrospectively. Univariate and multivariate comparisons and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses were performed.

RESULTS

Ten major (9.6%) and 16 minor (15.4%) complications were encountered in 24 patients (23.1%). An arterial pedicle size < 1 mm (p = 0.001) and a greater number of pedicles (p = 0.039) were predictors of complication occurrence. Only the Buffalo score predicted the complication rate on univariate (p = 0.039) and multivariate (p = 0.001) analyses. ROC curve analysis revealed a greater area under the curve (AUC) of the Buffalo score (0.703) compared to the Puerto Rico score (p = 0.028), AVM embocure score (AVMES; p = 0.010), and SM grade (SMG; p = 0.030). The Buffalo score, Puerto Rico score, and AVMES but not the SMG predicted > 85% nidus reduction. The AUCs for the different scoring systems were not significantly different.

CONCLUSIONS

The major complication rate of 9.6% is within the range of rates reported in the literature and emphasizes that brain AVM embolization is not a low-risk procedure. The Buffalo score but not the Puerto Rico score, AVMES, or SMG predicted the endovascular procedural risk. All three endovascular scores but not the SMG predicted a > 85% nidus reduction rate in this cohort embolized as part of a multimodal AVM treatment.

ABBREVIATIONS AUC = area under the curve; AVM = arteriovenous malformation; AVMES = AVM embocure score; mRS = modified Rankin Scale; NBCA = N-butyl cyanoacrylate; ROC = receiver operating characteristic; SMG = Spetzler-Martin grade.

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Contributor Notes

Correspondence Aman B. Patel: Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA. abpatel@mgh.harvard.edu.

INCLUDE WHEN CITING Published online June 14, 2019; DOI: 10.3171/2019.4.JNS19266.

J.D.R. and A.B.P. contributed equally to this work and share senior authorship.

Disclosures Dr. Patel is a consultant for Medtronic, MicroVention, and Penumbra.

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